Is Bitcoin the New Safe Haven as Global Liquidity Falls To Level Not Seen Since 2020

Story Highlights

  • Global liquidity has dropped to its lowest level since 2020, impacting traditional markets.

  • Analysts suggest Bitcoin’s rise reflects growing investor confidence during economic uncertainty.

  • Financial experts predict Bitcoin could reach $500,000 by 2025, with a potential $1 million by 2030.

As global central banks pull back liquidity at a record pace, Bitcoin seems to be emerging as a safer haven for investors. The renowned financial analyst, The Kobeissi Letter, recently highlighted the shrinking liquidity in the financial system, with central bank balance sheets dropping to levels not seen since 2020. In this environment of tightening money, cryptocurrency has thrived in the turmoil market mainly Bitcoin’s rise stands out.

Global Liquidity at Historic Lows

In 2022, major central banks expanded their balance sheets to a record ~$25 trillion or about 25% of global GDP—mainly in response to the pandemic. This injection of liquidity was meant to stabilize economies and financial markets.

However, The Kobeissi Letter notes that these balance sheets have since shrunk by $5 trillion, bringing global liquidity down to approx $20 trillion, the lowest since 2020.

How much liquidity has been withdrawn from the global financial system?

In 2022, the major central banks’ balance sheets hit a record of ~$25 trillion, or ~25% of global GDP, in response to the pandemic.

Since then, the aggregate central bank balance sheet has shrunk to ~$20… pic.twitter.com/rnKyZE8uTl

— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) September 23, 2024

As liquidity dries up, the traditional financial markets are expected to face challenges. In fact, global central banks are estimated to cut another $1 trillion from their holdings over the next year, reducing liquidity even further.

Bitcoin’s Role as a Safe Haven

Bitcoin continues to show its strength as global central banks as central banks reduce liquidity. Since November 2023, Bitcoin has risen from $18,383 to a current value of $63,104, representing a massive 340% jump. This big jump shows that more people see Bitcoin as a safe place to invest during economic uncertainty.

Experts say Bitcoin’s recent price jump shows it’s becoming a popular way to safeguard money against inflation. As global central banks plan to cut another $1 trillion from their balance sheets next year, financial author Robert Kiyosaki has made a bold prediction for Bitcoin’s future.

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— Robert Kiyosaki (@theRealKiyosaki) September 21, 2024

Kiyosaki believes Bitcoin could soar to $500,000 by 2025, which would mean an incredible 820% increase from its current price. He even hints that by 2030, Bitcoin could reach a staggering $1 million.

Bitcoin Price Analysis

Bitcoin’s price has been making a comeback recently, bouncing back from the $52,500 support level earlier this month. Over the last few weeks, BTC has climbed back to the $57,000 and $60,000 marks. However, the key $64,000 level and the 200-day moving average still stand strong, as the market continues to test them.

If Bitcoin breaks through this level, it could set the stage for a new all-time high in the weeks ahead. Are we on the brink of a major price surge?

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