DOT’s price watch – Examining if and when $6.5 will fall for Polkadot
Polkadot entered into a low volatility phase while forming a trend-changing pattern on the daily chart.
- Polkadot saw a strong revival over the past few weeks. Can the bulls continue to exert pressure? The altcoin’s derivates data revealed a slight bullish edge.
Polkadot [DOT] recent recovery has put the altcoin at an important juncture, at the confluence of the 20-day and 50-day EMAs as well as the crucial $6.5 resistance level.
For nearly three weeks, DOT saw higher troughs on its daily chart and bounced off its near-term trendline support. A potential close above or below this support level will likely inflict a volatile move in the coming weeks.
DOT traded at around $6.2 at the time of writing, up by around 0.5% over the past day.
Can DOT bulls inflict a rally?
The reversal from the $11.5 resistance in March set the stage for the bears to provoke a streak of red candles. As a result, DOT lost nearly 45% of its value over the past three months after touching its two-year high in March.
DOT then found support near the $5.55 level, which the bears tested twice over the past month. It’s worth noting that the altcoin fell below its crucial 20, 50, and 200-day EMA levels amid this downturn.
However, the recent rebound from the $5.55 baseline has reignited some recovery hopes. DOT was up nearly 13% over the last three weeks. In the meantime, it also tested the $6.5 resistance multiple times and formed an ascending triangle-like structure.
Should the price close above the immediate resistance level at $6.5, this could provoke an immediate uptrend. The 200 EMA at $6.8 would be the first major resistance level in this case.
However, if the price falls below the 20 and 50-day EMA, it could delay the immediate recovery prospects. In this case, DOT would likely rebound from the $5.55 level to retest the $6.5 resistance.
The Relative Strength Index finally found a close above the 50-level and reaffirmed an ease in selling pressure. However, buyers should wait for a sustained close above this level to gauge the chances of an uptrend in the coming days.
Similarly, the Awesome Oscillator closed above its equilibrium but saw a few red lines on its histogram over the last few days.
Here’s what the derivatives data revealed
Coinglass data showed bullish sentiment among traders, especially on Binance and OKX. However, the overall market seems slightly more short-biased in the past 24 hours.
Traders are now positioning themselves for potential larger moves, with a slight preference for long positions. However, it’s crucial to consider Bitcoin and the overall market sentiment before making any trading decisions.
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